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Kentucky Derby Picture In Need Of Egg Chen?

That's how it always starts.Rather than making things clearer, the recent major Kentucky Derby preps have, instead, continued to muddy the waters. However, I’ve begun to find this confusion more interesting of late, after a long winter of previously undiverting prep races – at least things are now in a constant state of surprise (although one could argue that nearly forty years of breeding little beyond speed horses has quite predictably lead to this state of affairs). While I find it extremely difficult to cobble together a list of ten (much less twenty – I’d have little argument with twenty potentially fabulous horses facing off, six or seven and a lot of filler is uninspiring) horses I’m looking forward to watching on Derby Day,

I couldn’t believe his odds in the Arkansas Derby – he looked like the class of the race to me, and he repaid my faith by single-handedly replenishing my Twin Spires account. I’m very excited to see him on Kentucky Derby day; he’s at the top of my list.  I also see a lot of scope for Arch3 t-shirts.  You’re welcome.

Pants On Fire
I’ve really come around to this colt, and not just for the Rosie Napravnik angle (although it’s fabulous to see a local/female jockey with a live Derby shot) – but as with so many this year, he’s hardly run. I’ll still be rooting for both horse and jockey.

Animal Kingdom
I love his pedigree (for turf, but it’s entirely possible he’ll be a triple threat), I like Graham Motion; I hate how lightly-raced he is. Motion also has Toby’s Corner, so if Animal Kingdom does not take to the dirt, he’s got another one.

Master of Hounds
While I’d rather see Khawlah, the filly who beat him in the UAE Derby, make the long flight from Europe, if ever it seems a year that a European-based horse has a good shot, it’s this year; the fact that he has experience at Churchill Downs (although, granted, over the turf track – I’m simply factoring in his experience with the crowds and atmosphere) makes him all the more interesting to watch. Sure, he looks like he belongs on Polytrack or the grass, but he may be the only one left running at the end.

Uncle Mo
This was unlike Afleet Alex’s last-place finish in the Rebel, when it was clear something was amiss with an already-quite-accomplished horse; it seems that Uncle Mo’s abbreviated schedule has either left him without the requisite fitness, or he simply does not want the distance. I have a great deal of respect for his owner and his ideas for the sport, but it would have been nice to see the horse run more often before this point. Is it possible there is a reason he has not? That said, Uncle Mo’s Abbreviated Schedule sounds like a great name for a hipster band – someone should get on that (and send me some checks).

It was encouraging to see Astrology’s connections opt for a different path for their horse – it would be nice if more were taking that approach and letting their horses find a better path to (hopefully) a longer and more winning career.

If the prep races couldn’t deliver a meaningful Derby favorite by this point, I’m all in favor of leaving up to 1980s cult films to do it for us – or I’m content to wait for Derby day.

Finally, we shall bring order out of chaos!

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