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The Belmont Undercard and Beyond

It’s not quite a Breeders’ Cup card, but there is a lot to like on the Belmont undercard. There are some interesting betting races but I am most looking forward to seeing some of my favorite horses in action.

True North HandicapRick Dutrow’s other favorite on the card, Benny the Bull, is back from Dubai. […]

Belmont Post Positions

I don’t believe that post position is usually much of a factor in the Belmont; while in theory Big Brown could get boxed in behind traffic from the 1, he should have enough natural ability to overcome such adversity.

However, the strategy in the Belmont often seems to be to get the favorite to run […]

Tomcito Out

Tomcito is apparently out of the Belmont with a ‘reaction‘ — no specifics were given on what might be going on there, but it would seem that the ranks are thinning for the race. Given the number of unpleasant things that have come out about Big Brown’s connections, it’s easy to slip into conspiracy theory […]

Big Drama

While much of the news over the long weekend focused on Big Brown’s latest quarter crack (Fran’s HoofBlog will be getting more details direct from his farrier later in the week, so keep checking for updates), the rumors over who will ride Casino Drive continue to swirl. Garrett Gomez is now definitely out of that […]

Kentucky Derby 2008: On the Record

With the Derby post positions announced (and the Kentucky Derby odds beginning to move), it’s time to go on the record. I’ve been poring over the DRF’s PPs for the Derby; I like the Moss Pace Figures version. Here are my conclusions about the field:

1) Cool Coal Man – Nice pedigree and he could […]

Derby Data

Until tomorrow afternoon’s post position draw, the only Derby trail action is analyzing (and overanalyzing) the contenders’ works and every possible bit of data available, no matter how tangential.

To that end, I always look forward to playing with the C-J Derby Data Track (and was pleased to discover its origins in […]

The Superfecta Derby Top Ten

Here is this week’s Superfecta Derby Top Ten; I’ve limited myself to horses in the top 20 on graded earnings or at least very close on the bubble (and presuming — hopefully rightly — that the talented Salute the Sarge is headed straight to the Preakness):

Big Brown – I don’t like the hype or […]

Welcome New York Times Readers

The New York Times seems to have caught Derby Fever in a big way. Not only did they have a feature article on Big Brown (more on that below), they’ve launched The Rail — a blog headed by Joe Drape with a variety of interesting contributors (and some nice TBA links on their blogroll – […]

Thanks, But No Thanks

While I appreciated Cowboy Cal adding some points to my Road to the Roses stable, I’m not convinced his placing behind Monba (with Pyro finishing up the track) in the Blue Grass means much in terms of the Derby picture. Pyro missed the break and seemed to have little (of course, the ‘he didn’t like […]

The Blue Grass, and a Cure for Derby Fever?

You can (apparently) tear up any future wagers you may have had on Denis of Cork; I can’t decide whether this letter from his owner, William K. Warren, is a little too melodramatic (I didn’t really need the financial details on hotel rooms, for example) or a nice opportunity to see someone take some responsibility […]