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In Case of Rain…

It may be Kentucky Oaks Eve, but I seem to be spending most of my time looking at the weather for Saturday. If the predicted deluge does indeed materialize around post time, I’m leaning toward a Friesan Fire/General Quarters/Dunkirk trifecta (even though I’m not otherwise on the Dunkirk bandwagon). However, I could also see a replay of the Louisiana Derby if things get really muddy – Papa Clem could get up for second behind Friesan Fire again.

However, high Tomlinson ratings alone aren’t going to raise Join in the Dance or Nowhere to Hide much in my estimation – but it could mean that even with a sloppy track, Join in the Dance tears away to set a fairly wicked pace. Although I really like Chocolate Candy, if it’s coming up very damp, I may decide it won’t be his afternoon (and I’d have the perfect excuse to toss Pioneerof the Nile entirely). I can’t decide where I Want Revenge figures in the event of truly bad weather – but given how quickly the track dries at Churchill Downs, it’s likely an outside possibility. Still, it’s good to be prepared.

Here’s hoping the weather holds off long enough that we get to see Zenyatta run tomorrow (and that we have a good view of Rachel Alexandra demolishing the Oaks field). More to come then…

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