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Derby Post Positions: Initial Musings

So, we’ve got the Derby post positions set; I’m not entirely sure why we needed a full field of twenty this year. Yes, we’re seeing a depth of talent we have not for some time, but I was rather hoping that might keep some of the Derby Fever crowd away. You can make a fantastic case for why seven or eight of them could find the winner’s circle and a pretty good one for perhaps another seven – but the ‘leftovers’ seem horribly outclassed.

I don’t think anyone has been terribly compromised by a bad post position but I was a bit surprised by some of the morning line odds. 20-1 on Chocolate Candy? The same for Papa Clem? 30-1 on Regal Ransom, but 15-1 on Desert Party in the 19 slot? I have no real argument with any of the 50-1 shots, but I will say that I would love it if the aforementioned horses stayed at double-digit odds!

Post Horse Trainer Jockey Odds
1 West Side Bernie Kelly Breen Stewart Elliott 30-1
2 Musket Man Derek Ryan Eibar Coa 20-1
3 Mr. Hot Stuff Eoin Harty John Velazquez 30-1
4 Advice Todd Pletcher Rene Douglas 30-1
5 Hold Me Back Bill Mott Kent Desormeaux 15-1
6 Friesan Fire Larry Jones Gabriel Saez 5-1
7 Papa Clem Gary Stute Rafael Bejarano 20-1
8 Mine That Bird Bennie Woolley Calvin Borel 50-1
9 Join in the Dance Todd Pletcher Chris DeCarlo 50-1
10 Regal Ransom Saeed bin Suroor Alan Garcia 30-1
11 Chocolate Candy Jerry Hollendorfer Mike Smith 20-1
12 General Quarters Tom McCarthy Julien Leparoux 20-1
13 I Want Revenge Jeff Mullins Joe Talamo 3-1
14 Atomic Rain Kelly Breen Joe Bravo 50-1
15 Dunkirk Todd Pletcher Edgar Prado 4-1
16 Pioneerof the Nile Bob Baffert Garrett Gomez 4-1
17 Summer Bird Tim Ice Chris Rosier 50-1
18 Nowhere to Hide Nick Zito Shaun Bridgmohan 50-1
19 Desert Party Saeed bin Suroor Ramon Dominguez 15-1
20 Flying Private D. Wayne Lukas Robby Albarado 50-1

Ladies and gentlemen, start poring over your past performances

1 comment to Derby Post Positions: Initial Musings

  • Handride

    I think you don’t see more of the ML below 20-1 because 50-1 is the max, reality you’ll have 4-5 horses 75-1 or more and then you’ll have some of those 20-1 shots lower.

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