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Derby 2007: On the Record

Finally, I’ve made some actual decisions about the Derby (with full notes on the complete field here):

Total investment: $27
How: $21 in advance wagering, $6 in future wagers
Selections: A bunch of exacta boxes featuring various combinations of Nobiz Like Shobiz, Any Given Saturday, Street Sense, Circular Quay*, Great Hunter and Hard Spun
Future wager picks: Great Hunter, Teuflesburg (and check out his feature article in the NY Times), All Others (and I think another one I’m forgetting)
And in the interest of nominative determinism for this blog, a single $1 superfecta: Nobiz Like Shobiz, Any Given Saturday, Street Sense, Circular Quay

So I’m officially picking Nobiz Like Shobiz to win, but of course I have a lot of respect for the others listed above and I would not be at all surprised to see any of that group switch places. You’ll note the absence of Curlin in my picks (although I did have to do one Chalky McChalk Chalk exacta box featuring Curlin and Street Sense for Mr. Superfecta); if he proves to be the freak some think he is, I’m perfectly happy to lose out — whereas if it rains, I don’t see him hitting the board at all.

On the Derby undercard, you have to like Ah Day in the Churchill Downs stakes, and I’m going for Magnificent Song in the Churchill Distaff Mile. The La Troienne looks like it’s all Appealing Zophie; it’s going to get very interesting in the Humana Distaff. Pussycat Doll, Bushfire and Wildcat Bettie B are all tough fillies; I may go for Wildcat Bettie B since she’s been training well with Hard Spun lately. Perhaps the race I am most looking forward to (apart from the obvious one) is the Woodford Reserve — Better Talk Now is back! (We’re friends on MySpace, you know). He and Shake the Bank will be facing off against a tough field, featuring Icy Atlantic, Milk It Mick, Go Between and Einstein, but I’d love to see him pull off a win here. Then there are some nice three-year-olds in the tenth race…

*I’m ignoring my iPod’s bad track record in picking winners — it keeps playing Aussie pop today (mostly The Lucksmiths) so it’s clearly in a Circular Quay mood. I can go with that if Nobiz Like Shobiz has an off day.

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