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	<title>Superfectablog v3.0 &#187; I Want Revenge</title>
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		<title>In Which Devil May Care = Babylon 5</title>
		<link>http://superfectablog.com/2010/04/in-which-devil-may-care-babylon-5.html</link>
		<comments>http://superfectablog.com/2010/04/in-which-devil-may-care-babylon-5.html#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 27 Apr 2010 18:22:21 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>admin</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Blind Luck]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Devil May Care]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Eskendereya]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[I Want Revenge]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Lookin At Lucky]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Rachel Alexandra]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Sidney's Candy]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://superfectablog.com/?p=773</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p class="wp-caption-text">Todd Pletcher&#39;s last, best hope</p>
<p>After the frenzied game of musical chairs over the weekend, we now have a reasonably good sense of who is actually going in the Derby – and it&#8217;s certainly not Eskendereya or Rule (who, quite sensibly, now seems pointed for the Preakness).  While it&#8217;s not clear whether the front wraps [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="wp-caption alignright" style="width: 256px"><a href="http://media.kansascity.com/smedia/2010/04/27/03/662-100422_derby669.embedded.prod_affiliate.81.jpg"><img title="Devil May Care" src="http://media.kansascity.com/smedia/2010/04/27/03/662-100422_derby669.embedded.prod_affiliate.81.jpg" alt="Todd Pletcher's last, best hope" width="246" height="369" /></a><p class="wp-caption-text">Todd Pletcher&#39;s last, best hope</p></div>
<p>After the frenzied game of musical chairs over the weekend, we now have a reasonably good sense of who is actually going in the Derby – and it&#8217;s certainly <a href="http://www.thoroughbredtimes.com/racing-news/2010/April/25/Eskendereya-declared-out-of-Kentucky-Derby.aspx">not <strong>Eskendereya</strong></a> or <strong>Rule</strong> (who, quite sensibly, now seems <a href="http://www.nola.com/horseracing/index.ssf/2010/04/kentucky_derby_notes_devil_may.html">pointed for the Preakness</a>).  While it&#8217;s not clear whether the front wraps he wore in his Wood victory were a hint that something was slightly amiss, he will be missed – but in some ways, his defection makes the potential race more interesting – and certainly more wide-open.  <a href="http://therail.blogs.nytimes.com/2010/04/27/morning-line-eyes-turn-to-lookin-at-lucky/"><strong>Lookin At Lucky</strong></a> is the obvious successor to take on the favorite mantle, but here are a few more Derby starters on whom I&#8217;ll be keeping a particularly close eye:</p>
<p><strong><a href="http://www.thoroughbredtimes.com/racing-news/2010/April/26/McPeek-says-Nobles-Promise-is-in-the-Derby.aspx">Noble&#8217;s Promise</a></strong><br />
I liked his finish in the Rebel, and he has had more than his share of poor luck this season; he could be due for a big race.</p>
<p><strong><a href="http://www.thoroughbredtimes.com/racing-news/2010/April/26/Sidneys-Candy-follows-proven-path-to-dirt.aspx">Sidney&#8217;s Candy</a></strong><br />
While I wish he had a good dirt prep on his resume, he seems more likely to make the transition more easily than many.  But it&#8217;s nice to see <a href="http://articles.latimes.com/2010/apr/19/sports/la-sp-dwyre-20100420">Joe Talamo</a> have a horse with a real shot, after the <strong>I Want Revenge</strong> situation last year.</p>
<p><strong><a href="http://sports.espn.go.com/sports/horse/triplecrown2010/news/story?id=5083841">Awesome Act</a></strong><br />
Another victim of bad luck in the past, we know he likes the mud – and he&#8217;s worth watching.</p>
<p><strong><a href="http://www.bloodhorse.com/horse-racing/articles/56686/devil-may-care-to-enter-in-derby-only">Devil May Care</a></strong><br />
Now we know she&#8217;s <a href="http://www.thoroughbredtimes.com/racing-news/2010/April/27/Kentucky-Oaks-draws-without-Devil-May-Care.aspx">definitely in the Derby</a> – and she deserves her spot (which is more than I can say for some of the colts we&#8217;ll likely be seeing – whether you agree with <a href="http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2010/04/26/AR2010042601855.html">Beyer&#8217;s entire column</a> or not, I think he&#8217;s right on with the notion that the earnings have become some sort of automatic Derby ticket, deserved or otherwise).  And hey, she has namesakes in both a <a href="http://www.amazon.com/Devil-May-Care-Jamie-Cullum/dp/B002ZXZJJW">Jamie Cullum CD</a> and a <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Devil_May_Care_%28novel%29">James Bond novel</a> (albeit one by Sebastian Faulks).  John Velazquez gets the mount.</p>
<p>Of course, we already have <a href=" http://www.thoroughbredtimes.com/racing-news/2010/April/27/Kentucky-Oaks-draws-without-Devil-May-Care.aspx">the field for the Oaks</a>, and <strong>Blind Luck</strong> is the favorite.  We&#8217;ll go more in-depth with the Oaks tomorrow (as well as commenting on the Derby draw), but <strong>Amen Hallelujah</strong> and <strong>Crisp </strong>are my other two (rather chalky) picks.<br />
And the Oaks undercard is going to have one very special guest: <strong>Rachel Alexandra</strong> is <a href="http://www.thoroughbredtimes.com/racing-news/2010/April/24/Rachel-Alexandra-set-for-La-Troienne.aspx">running in the La Troienne</a>.  She&#8217;s back to her normal (for which read &#8216;rather spectacular&#8217;) <a href=" http://therail.blogs.nytimes.com/2010/04/26/a-closer-look-at-the-derby-crop/">work pattern</a>, so hopefully we&#8217;ll see her turn the tables on <strong>Zardana</strong> – although I&#8217;m equally fine giving her another race to get back into her true form.</p>
<p>In the meantime, check out <a href="http://helloracefans.com/">Hello Race Fans</a> and <a href="http://therail.blogs.nytimes.com/">The Rail</a> for more, as there is plenty of quality racing-related writing on tap this week – and remember to tune in to <a href="http://alexbrownracing.com/wiki/index.php/Radio">Alex Brown&#8217;s radio show</a> on Thursday, where I&#8217;ll be handing out some dubious Derby and Oaks wagering advice.</p>
<p>I leave you (until tomorrow!) with this thought: can Pletcher get another last-place finisher with <strong>Mission Impazible</strong>?</p>
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		<title>Eclipse Awards: Rachel Alexandra, Zenyatta And The Rest</title>
		<link>http://superfectablog.com/2010/01/eclipse-awards-rachel-alexandra-zenyatta-and-the-rest.html</link>
		<comments>http://superfectablog.com/2010/01/eclipse-awards-rachel-alexandra-zenyatta-and-the-rest.html#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 19 Jan 2010 16:32:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>admin</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Einstein]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Gio Ponti]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Goldikova]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[I Want Revenge]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Rachel Alexandra]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Summer Bird]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Zenyatta]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://superfectablog.lisagrimm.com/?p=714</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p>Last night, they handed out a few awards for horse racing &#8211; you may have heard a bit about it.</p>
<p>2-year-old male: Lookin at LuckyAs per usual with the juvenile awards, there was no surprise here. His three G1 wins sealed the deal, and he looks to improve this year.  We&#8217;ll soon find out if [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a onblur="try {parent.deselectBloggerImageGracefully();} catch(e) {}" href="http://2.bp.blogspot.com/_DgwRgJpYIRA/S1XhhUXllFI/AAAAAAAAASQ/QIEPLiADtsA/s1600-h/rachel-alexandra.jpg"><img style="margin: 0pt 0pt 10px 10px; float: right; cursor: pointer; width: 200px; height: 160px;" src="http://2.bp.blogspot.com/_DgwRgJpYIRA/S1XhhUXllFI/AAAAAAAAASQ/QIEPLiADtsA/s200/rachel-alexandra.jpg" alt="" id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5428492888384574546" border="0" /></a>Last night, they handed out a few awards for horse racing &#8211; you may have heard a bit about it.</p>
<p><span style="font-weight: bold;">2-year-old male: Lookin at Lucky</span><br />As per usual with the juvenile awards, there was no surprise here. His three G1 wins <a href="http://www.bloodhorse.com/horse-racing/articles/54890/champion-2yo-male-lookin-at-lucky">sealed the deal</a>, and he looks to improve this year.  We&#8217;ll soon find out if he likes real dirt, but trainer Bob Baffert seems <a href="http://sports.espn.go.com/sports/horse/columns/story?columnist=finley_bill&amp;id=4765462">quite happy</a> with things thus far.</p>
<p><span style="font-weight: bold;">2-year-old filly: She Be Wild</span><br />While this category had a little more competition, <span style="font-weight: bold;">She Be Wild</span> has <a href="http://www.bloodhorse.com/horse-racing/articles/54889/champion-2yo-female-she-be-wild">a good backstory</a> &#8211; former claimer, unwanted at auction wins four out of five, including the Breeders&#8217; Cup Juvenile Fillies. Both dirt and turf could be <a href="http://www.drf.com/news/article/110201.html">in her future</a> &#8211; versatility FTW!</p>
<p><span style="font-weight: bold;">Turf Male: Gio Ponti</span><br />A well-deserved <a href="http://www.drf.com/news/article/109899.html">bit of recognition</a> for a horse who showed up <a href="http://www.bloodhorse.com/horse-racing/articles/54880/champion-turf-male-gio-ponti">just about everywhere</a> &#8211; but who truly excelled on the grass. And the night was just beginning for him&#8230;</p>
<p><span style="font-weight: bold;">Turf Female: Goldikova</span><br />While I respect the notion that the Eclipse Award winner should have more than one start in the US, I am quite happy to toss that guideline out when the horse in question is as <a href="http://www.bloodhorse.com/horse-racing/articles/54879/champion-turf-female-goldikova">overwhelmingly superior</a> as <span style="font-weight: bold;">Goldikova</span> is.  Her repeat of <span style="font-weight: bold;">Miesque&#8217;s</span> back-to-back Mile victories, under the tutelage of <span style="font-weight: bold;">Miesque&#8217;s</span> former jockey, Freddie Head, completes an undeniably satisfying circuit &#8211; and the news that she&#8217;s aiming to capture a third Breeders&#8217; Cup victory this year should certainly be rewarded.  Given the excitement over <span style="font-weight: bold;">Rachel Alexandra</span> and <span style="font-weight: bold;">Zenyatta</span>, it may be difficult to recall that the opportunity to see a horse of <span style="font-weight: bold;">Goldikova&#8217;s</span> caliber is rare indeed &#8211; and it should be celebrated.</p>
<p><span style="font-weight: bold;">Steeplechaser: Mixed Up</span><br />How often does a 10-year-old PA-bred win an Eclipse Award?  And hey, he <a href="http://www.bloodhorse.com/horse-racing/articles/54878/champion-steeplechaser-mixed-up">doesn&#8217;t even take Lasix</a>.  These are Good Things.</p>
<p><span style="font-weight: bold;">Breeder: Juddmonte Farms</span><br />These awards tend to follow the money, and it&#8217;s certainly hard to argue with <a href="http://www.bloodhorse.com/horse-racing/articles/54873/champion-breeder-juddmonte-farms">Juddmonte&#8217;s success</a> in producing top-level horses.  There were a few stray votes for Dolphus Morrison for breeding <span style="font-weight: bold;">Rachel Alexandra</span> &#8211; even if he did not want to truly unleash her talents.</p>
<p><span style="font-weight: bold;">Female Sprinter: Informed Decision</span><br />The overwhelming pick of her division (although one has to assume that <span style="font-weight: bold;">Ventura&#8217;s</span> positioning in both this category and the Turf Female category may have hurt her chances), <span style="font-weight: bold;">Informed Decision</span> won at <a href="http://www.bloodhorse.com/horse-racing/articles/54883/champion-female-sprinter-informed-decision">nearly every track she visited</a>, under a variety of conditions &#8211; and the best news is that she&#8217;ll be back later this spring to extend her winning streak.</p>
<p><span style="font-weight: bold;">Male Sprinter: Kodiak Kowboy</span><br />Although he had a respectable career as a 2 and 3-year-old, <span style="font-weight: bold;">Kodiak Kowboy</span> truly had the chance to <a href="http://www.bloodhorse.com/horse-racing/articles/54884/champion-male-sprinter-kodiak-kowboy">prove himself</a> as a 4-year-old, winning as a sprinter and miler.  He goes to stud with a <a href="http://www.drf.com/news/article/110209.html">solid record</a> of achievement.</p>
<p><span style="font-weight: bold;">3-year-old Male: Summer Bird </span><br />This was <a href="http://www.bloodhorse.com/horse-racing/articles/54888/champion-3yo-male-summer-bird">a no-brainer</a> &#8211; but I am quite curious to know who cast the single vote for <span style="font-weight: bold;">I Want Revenge</span>.  Trainer Tim Ice reiterated that we should be seeing him back on the track later this year; let&#8217;s hope his recovery continues in such an encouraging fashion.</p>
<p><span style="font-weight: bold;">3-year-old Female: Rachel Alexandra</span><br />The great filly took home the <a href="http://www.bloodhorse.com/horse-racing/articles/54887/champion-3yo-female-rachel-alexandra">least-suspenseful award</a> of the night &#8211; it was also the sole unanimous award (but more on that in a moment).  Owner Jess Jackson&#8217;s acceptance speech was thoughtful, but at something approaching seven minutes, it could have used some judicious editing.  But given that the award winners can&#8217;t speak for themselves, we can allow a little indulgence.</p>
<p><span style="font-weight: bold;">Owner: Godolphin Racing</span><br />This was one of the <a href="http://www.bloodhorse.com/horse-racing/articles/54877/champion-owner-godolphin-racing">most competitive</a> awards, with only five votes separating the winner from Jerry and Ann Moss.  But as in the case of the Breeder category, the Eclipse voters tend to recognize revenue &#8211; but the narrow margin of victory demonstrates that there is also a desire to reward owners with a more personal touch.</p>
<p><span style="font-weight: bold;">Trainer: Steven Asmussen</span><br />Once again, you cannot argue <a href="http://www.bloodhorse.com/horse-racing/articles/54875/champion-trainer-steve-asmussen">with the numbers</a> &#8211; or his great good fortune in having <span style="font-weight: bold;">Rachel Alexandra</span> drop into his lap (although her original trainer, Hal Wiggins, also received a few votes).  While I may not be a fan of his record of medication violations, his staff clearly loves the horses they work with, so the award is as much an acknowledgement of their hard work.</p>
<p><span style="font-weight: bold;">Older Male: Gio Ponti</span><br />A double on the night for the versatile 4-year-old was clearly in the offing; as much as I love <span style="font-weight: bold;">Einstein</span>, based on this year&#8217;s wins, it had to go to <span style="font-weight: bold;">Gio Ponti</span>.  He&#8217;s still flying under the radar in the eyes of the general public, and even the racing press sometimes overlooks his accomplishments, so it was entirely justified that he be <a href="http://www.bloodhorse.com/horse-racing/articles/54886/champion-older-male-gio-ponti">doubly rewarded</a>.  <a href="http://www.bloodhorse.com/horse-racing/articles/54886/champion-older-male-gio-ponti">The Blood-Horse points out</a> that he is the first horse to win this award without a win on traditional dirt &#8211; so it&#8217;s particularly interesting. His future plans <a href="http://sports.espn.go.com/sports/horse/news/story?id=4837811">may involve</a> the Dubai World Cup &#8211; that could end up a very competitive race indeed.</p>
<p><span style="font-weight: bold;">Older Female: Zenyatta</span><br />While this was another <a href="http://www.bloodhorse.com/horse-racing/articles/54885/champion-older-female-zenyatta">foregone conclusion</a>, there was a single (protest?) vote from someone at the Daily Racing Form for Icon Project &#8211; presumably the backstory there will be revealed at some point. While I still believe she should have been crowned Horse of the Year last year, the news that <a href="http://www.drf.com/news/article/110214.html">she will return</a> to the track this year means she may finally get to take home that honor; in any case, winning two consecutive Eclipse Awards and making history in the Breeders&#8217; Cup Classic is certainly enough to consider without worrying about Horse of the Year &#8211; yet.</p>
<p><span style="font-weight: bold;">Apprentice Jockey: Christian Santiago Reyes</span><br />Further proof that Puerto Rico knows what it&#8217;s doing when it trains jockeys, this 19-year-old has <a href="http://www.bloodhorse.com/horse-racing/articles/54872/champion-apprentice-christian-santiago-reyes">a bright future</a> &#8211; he would be wise to study the next winner.</p>
<p><span style="font-weight: bold;">Jockey: Julien Leparoux</span><br />It&#8217;s hard to imagine he won the Eclipse for Apprentice <a href="http://www.bloodhorse.com/horse-racing/articles/54874/champion-jockey-julien-leparoux">only four years ago</a> &#8211; it seems he&#8217;s had nothing but success since arriving in the US.  Clearly, the title of <a href="http://www.facebook.com/group.php?gid=2223901527">his Facebook fan group</a> is on the right track.</p>
<p><span style="font-weight: bold;">Horse of the Year: Rachel Alexandra</span><br />In the end, it wasn&#8217;t even close: the votes were <a href="http://www.bloodhorse.com/horse-racing/articles/54900/rachel-alexandra-named-horse-of-the-year">130 to 99</a>.  That in no way reflects poorly on <span style="font-weight: bold;">Zenyatta&#8217;s</span> accomplishments &#8211; it simply honors the fact that during the past racing season, <span style="font-weight: bold;">Rachel Alexandra</span> had more opportunities to show off her immense talent, in a wider variety of venues &#8211; she won for her efforts throughout the year, not for a single race (regardless of how impressive that race may have been).  But as I have <a href="http://superfectablog.blogspot.com/2009/11/on-zenyatta-rachel-alexandra-and-memory.html">said before</a>, while Horse of the Year honors are important to some, a firm place in history means more in the long run.  If we are lucky enough to see <span style="font-weight: bold;">Rachel Alexandra</span> take on <span style="font-weight: bold;">Zenyatta</span>, that would be tremendous &#8211; I&#8217;d like to see a Best of Five race series at a variety of different tracks.  The difficulty will be getting other horses (male or female) into the gate to fill a race &#8211; but someone should certainly be working to set that up.  Any takers?</p>
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		<title>Moon of Alabama?</title>
		<link>http://superfectablog.com/2009/08/moon-of-alabama.html</link>
		<comments>http://superfectablog.com/2009/08/moon-of-alabama.html#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 21 Aug 2009 15:12:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>admin</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[I Want Revenge]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Media]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Rachel Alexandra]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://superfectablog.lisagrimm.com/?p=655</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p>The collective connections of the fillies in the Alabama are no doubt breathing a sigh of relief at the absence of Rachel Alexandra.  Without her long shadow looming over them, we get the chance to note that they are a nice group &#8211; they may not be as freakishly talented, but they have, for [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a onblur="try {parent.deselectBloggerImageGracefully();} catch(e) {}" href="http://2.bp.blogspot.com/_CmtzzbNoNb0/SDYeTl_DejI/AAAAAAAAAe4/C4H2PVpAReM/s400/370184.jpg"><img style="margin: 0pt 10px 10px 0pt; float: left; cursor: pointer; width: 216px; height: 215px;" src="http://2.bp.blogspot.com/_CmtzzbNoNb0/SDYeTl_DejI/AAAAAAAAAe4/C4H2PVpAReM/s400/370184.jpg" alt="" border="0" /></a>The collective connections of the fillies in the Alabama are no doubt breathing a sigh of relief at the absence of <span style="font-weight: bold;">Rachel Alexandra</span>.  Without her long shadow looming over them, we get the chance to note that they are <a href="http://www.bloodhorse.com/horse-racing/articles/52197/alabama-no-rachel-but-still-a-solid-field">a nice group</a> &#8211; they may not be as freakishly talented, but they have, for the most part, performed well elsewhere.  I earned a bit of money on <span style="font-weight: bold;">Funny Moon</span> last time out, and I like seeing her here again facing a number of competitors she&#8217;s beaten before.  She also has the services of Alan Garcia, who has been on fire at Saratoga &#8211; and while I also like <span style="font-weight: bold;">Don&#8217;t Forget Gil</span> and <span style="font-weight: bold;">Be Fair</span>, <span style="font-weight: bold;">Funny Moon</span> is the one to beat.  While none of them may match up to previous winners like <span style="font-weight: bold;">Miss Woodford</span>, our featured horse this month, or twentieth-century Alabama champions like <span style="font-weight: bold;">Vagrancy</span>, <span style="font-weight: bold;">Go For Wand</span> or <span style="font-weight: bold;">Silverbulletday</span>, they are a good group that could progress down the line.</p>
<p>But it&#8217;s not just the fillies worried about <span style="font-weight: bold;">Rachel Alexandra&#8217;s</span> next start &#8211; <span style="font-weight: bold;">Charitable Man&#8217;s</span> next race will also depend on where she goes.  While the Travers has been the goal, he will <a href="http://www.bloodhorse.com/horse-racing/articles/52214/travers-charitable-man-looks-like-a-go">point elsewhere</a> if she goes.  Naturally, for my own convenience I&#8217;d like to see her in the Pennsylvania Derby &#8211; but we should have a fine Travers on tap either way.  I&#8217;ll be handing out no doubt ill-thought-out commentary on the Travers next week <a href="http://www.blogtalkradio.com/AlexBrownRacing/2009/08/26/Alex-Brown-Racing-on-the-radio">on the airwaves</a>, but please do tune in anyway!</p>
<p>And so, on to season two of &#8216;Jockeys,&#8217; which kicks off tonight; this time around, it&#8217;s the lead-up to the Derby.  For the committed racing fan, that means a large part of the drama will be somewhat lacking, but I&#8217;m particularly interested to see the activity around <span style="font-weight: bold;">I Want Revenge</span> &#8211; how did Animal Planet avoid getting slapped by a lawsuit? It seems everyone else involved got one.  <a href="http://www.monstersandcritics.com/smallscreen/features/article_1496571.php/Animal-Planet-s-Jockeys-more-personal-this-season-begins-August-21">Monsters and Critics</a> has details on each episode and it sounds as though each one will be fairly self-contained, with a slightly deeper focus than the first-season episodes.  Garrett Gomez and Corey Nakatani seem cast as the villains to a certain extent, although one imagines (hopes?) it will be a little more complex upon viewing.</p>
<p>In any event, it&#8217;s a welcome return for a show that sheds a little more light on the industry to a wider audience.</p>
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		<title>Road to Baltimore</title>
		<link>http://superfectablog.com/2009/05/road-to-baltimore.html</link>
		<comments>http://superfectablog.com/2009/05/road-to-baltimore.html#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 05 May 2009 14:11:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>admin</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Einstein]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Friesan Fire]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[I Want Revenge]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Media]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Mine That Bird]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Musket Man]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Papa Clem]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Pioneerof the Nile]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Rachel Alexandra]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://superfectablog.lisagrimm.com/?p=611</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p>Yesterday, I suggested we wait and see where Mine That Bird will fit in Kentucky Derby history; today, however, it&#8217;s time to recap the weekend&#8217;s racing and in that context, his Derby victory is still something to puzzle over.</p>
<p>It goes without saying that there was no greater spectacle in racing than Rachel Alexandra&#8217;s utterly dominant [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a onblur="try {parent.deselectBloggerImageGracefully();} catch(e) {}" href="http://espn-i.starwave.com/media/apphoto/0a7e3ae9-94b4-4920-8e56-d8dbaf741033.jpg"><img style="margin: 0pt 0pt 10px 10px; float: right; cursor: pointer; width: 301px; height: 197px;" src="http://espn-i.starwave.com/media/apphoto/0a7e3ae9-94b4-4920-8e56-d8dbaf741033.jpg" alt="" border="0" /></a>Yesterday, I suggested we <a href="http://superfectablog.blogspot.com/2009/05/in-which-we-counsel-patience.html">wait and see</a> where <span style="font-weight: bold;">Mine That Bird</span> will fit in Kentucky Derby history; today, however, it&#8217;s time to recap the weekend&#8217;s racing and in that context, his Derby victory is still something to puzzle over.</p>
<p>It goes without saying that there was no greater spectacle in racing than <span style="font-weight: bold;">Rachel Alexandra&#8217;s</span> utterly dominant (and utterly effortless) performance in the Kentucky Oaks.  Her twenty-and-a-bit length victory was all the more awe-inspiring since she looked like she was out for a stroll &#8211; there was never the least sign of exertion, and Calvin Borel had plenty of time to pat her neck and celebrate in the stretch.  Imagine what she could be capable of if actually asked to run &#8211; it&#8217;s an exciting thought.  While her owner has ruled her out of other Triple Crown races (despite the fact that those showcases for &#8216;<a href="http://www.greenbutgame.org/2009/05/03/take-that-stallion-derby/">future stallions</a>&#8216; are now <a href="http://www.greenbutgame.org/2009/05/03/take-that-stallion-derby/">headlined by a gelding</a>), I wonder if we could perhaps see her in the Travers or the Whitney &#8211; I&#8217;ve <a href="http://superfectablog.blogspot.com/2009/05/kentucky-oaks-semi-liveblog.html">already said</a> I&#8217;d love to see her face <span style="font-weight: bold;">Zenyatta</span> in the Breeders&#8217; Cup Classic (although that&#8217;s also the goal for my beloved <span style="font-weight: bold;">Einstein</span>).</p>
<p>And so to <span style="font-weight: bold;">Einstein</span> &#8211; his repeat victory in the Woodford Reserve on Saturday was thrilling &#8211; why NBC couldn&#8217;t show that rather than a trickle of D-list celebrities is beyond me (and for some reason the <a href="http://www.guardian.co.uk/sport/2009/may/05/horse-racing"><span style="font-style: italic;">Guardian</span></a> is praising their coverage, which veered from &#8216;nothing special&#8217; to &#8216;downright irritating&#8217;).  What they missed out was a fabulous stretch duel between <span style="font-weight: bold;">Einstein </span>and <span style="font-weight: bold;">Cowboy Cal</span> &#8211; <span style="font-weight: bold;">Einstein</span> clearly didn&#8217;t love the soft turf, but he was equally clearly not going to let <span style="font-weight: bold;">Cowboy Cal</span> pass him.  It was yet another <a href="http://foolishpleasure-valerie.blogspot.com/2009/05/saturdays-other-races-worth-noting.html">memorable performance</a> &#8211; if it&#8217;s still the legal issues keeping him in training, may the litigation long continue.  After the race, trainer Helen Pitts-Blasi <a href="http://www.courier-journal.com/article/20090503/SPORTS08/905030415/1002/SPORTS/Einstein+shows+grit+in+repeat+victory">remarked</a>:<span style="font-size:85%;"><br /></span><br />
<blockquote><span style="font-size:85%;">&#8220;I&#8217;m not going to say he&#8217;s the best horse in the country,&#8221; Pitts-Blasi said. &#8220;I&#8217;ll let you know on Nov. 6. The Breeders&#8217; Cup Classic is a possibility. He loved that track at Santa Anita, and with the Breeders&#8217; Cup being there, it&#8217;s worth a shot.&#8221;</span></p></blockquote>
<p>Sounds like a plan.</p>
<p>Finally, there was the Kentucky Derby itself.  We attended a Derby party that involved fantastic tacos, newborn foals (including a filly born early that morning to former reality TV star <a href="http://superfectablog.blogspot.com/search/label/Sharp%20as%20a%20Fox"><span style="font-weight: bold;">Sharp as a Fox</span></a>) and a betting pool.   We&#8217;d placed actual bets on horses including <span style="font-weight: bold;">Musket Man</span>, <span style="font-weight: bold;">Friesan Fire</span>, <span style="font-weight: bold;">Pioneerof the Nile</span> and <span style="font-weight: bold;">Papa Clem</span>, but also took turns picking some for the aforementioned pool.  By about the second time around the room, pickings were looking a little slimmer, so Mr. Superfecta started going by jockeys &#8211; and picked Calvin Borel.</p>
<p>While everyone agrees the call was not Tom Durkin&#8217;s finest hour, we weren&#8217;t doing much better &#8211; we all spent the last 40 seconds or so of the race shouting, &#8216;but who is that on the rail?!?&#8217;</p>
<p>Stunned, we took home the pool.</p>
<p>As I&#8217;ve mentioned already, I&#8217;m going to wait to see how the Preakness and Belmont turn out for <span style="font-weight: bold;">Mine That Bird</span> before making a decision about where he &#8216;belongs&#8217; &#8211; but there were certainly plenty of excuses to go around.  <span style="font-weight: bold;">Desert Party</span> came out of the race with an <a href="http://www.google.com/hostednews/ukpress/article/ALeqM5ihwA__vyQ-xgAa_fNdIVJtrXa6TA">ankle injury</a> that should keep him out until next year and <span style="font-weight: bold;">Friesan Fire</span> grabbed a quarter while getting his legs <a href="http://www.philly.com/inquirer/sports/20090504_Preakness_is_possible_for_nicked_Friesan_Fire.html">sliced up</a> a bit &#8211; but he could be back in time for the Preakness.  For the top finishers, including <span style="font-weight: bold;">Pioneerof the Nile</span>, <span style="font-weight: bold;">Musket Man </span>and <span style="font-weight: bold;">Papa Clem</span><span style="font-weight: bold;"></span>, the surface is the obvious go-to &#8211; but it&#8217;s likely we will see all three of them in Baltimore on the 16th.  Late scratch <span style="font-weight: bold;">I Want Revenge</span> <a href="http://drf.com/news/article/103500.html">may appear</a> at the Travers, but that would be the earliest he might rejoin the fray.</p>
<p>And as for <span style="font-weight: bold;">Mine That Bird</span> himself, I&#8217;ve always had a soft sport for the <a href="http://twitter.com/joedrape/statuses/1698910672">little horses</a> (like his daddy <a style="font-weight: bold;" href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Birdstone">Birdstone</a>, or speedy mare <a style="font-weight: bold;" href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Megahertz_%28horse%29">Megahertz</a>) who prove you don&#8217;t need to be a 17 hand monster to win in this game &#8211; if you want to get in on the action, his half-brother is a <a href="http://www.bloodhorse.com/horse-racing/articles/50621/fasig-tipton-to-offer-derby-winners-sibling">late addition</a> to the Fasig-Tipton Midlantic sale.</p>
<p>So it seems all roads lead to Baltimore (or at least Timonium)&#8230;</p>
]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>2009 Kentucky Derby: On the Record</title>
		<link>http://superfectablog.com/2009/05/2009-kentucky-derby-on-the-record.html</link>
		<comments>http://superfectablog.com/2009/05/2009-kentucky-derby-on-the-record.html#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 01 May 2009 14:07:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>admin</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Barbaro]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Chocolate Candy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Curlin]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Dunkirk]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Friesan Fire]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[I Want Revenge]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Papa Clem]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Smarty Jones]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Winning Colors]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://superfectablog.lisagrimm.com/?p=607</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p>It&#8217;s official &#8211; I&#8217;ve (almost) made some decisions.  Without further ado, here is your official Superfecta Kentucky Derby handicapping exercise for 2009 &#8211; as ever, with the note that my recent successes with Smarty Jones and Barbaro are tempered by the fact that my last correctly-predicted winner was Winning Colors in 1988.  You [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a onblur="try {parent.deselectBloggerImageGracefully();} catch(e) {}" href="http://www.geocities.com/comicpostcards/TodaysLongShotatChurchillDowns.jpg"><img style="margin: 0pt 10px 10px 0pt; float: left; cursor: pointer; width: 223px; height: 140px;" src="http://www.geocities.com/comicpostcards/TodaysLongShotatChurchillDowns.jpg" alt="" border="0" /></a>It&#8217;s official &#8211; I&#8217;ve (almost) made some decisions.  Without further ado, here is your official Superfecta Kentucky Derby handicapping exercise for 2009 &#8211; as ever, with the note that my recent successes with <span style="font-weight: bold;">Smarty Jones </span>and <span style="font-weight: bold;">Barbaro</span> are tempered by the fact that my last correctly-predicted winner was <span style="font-weight: bold;">Winning Colors</span> in 1988.  You have been warned.</p>
<p><span style="font-weight: bold;"><br />1) </span>         <span style="font-weight: bold;">West Side Bernie</span><br /><span style="font-weight: bold;">Upside:</span> Seems to be improving, has some good seasoning. Second to <span style="font-weight: bold;">I Want Revenge </span>last time out.<br /><span style="font-weight: bold;">Downside:</span> Not sure he wants the distance &#8211; or if he&#8217;s fast enough</p>
<p><span style="font-weight: bold;">2)</span>          <span style="font-weight: bold;">Musket Man</span><br /><span style="font-weight: bold;">Upside:</span> Keeps looking better and better in retrospect<br /><span style="font-weight: bold;">Downside:</span> Not a huge fan of jockey Eibar Coa</p>
<p><span style="font-weight: bold;">3)</span>          <span style="font-weight: bold;">Mr. Hot Stuff</span>               <br /><span style="font-weight: bold;">Upside:</span> I like trainer Eoin Harty<br /><span style="font-weight: bold;">Downside:</span> Looks like a sprinter/miler</p>
<p><span style="font-weight: bold;">4)         Advice</span>                             <br /><span style="font-weight: bold;">Upside:</span> Nice move in his last race<br /><span style="font-weight: bold;">Downside:</span> Polytrack specialist</p>
<p><span style="font-weight: bold;">5)         Hold Me Back</span><br /><span style="font-weight: bold;">Upside:</span> Not among the very best, but could hit the board<br /><span style="font-weight: bold;">Downside:</span> Does he also prefer Polytrack?</p>
<p><span style="font-weight: bold;">6)         Friesan Fire</span>                 <br /><span style="font-weight: bold;">Upside:</span> Love the breeding, love his versatility<br /><span style="font-weight: bold;">Downside:</span> Layoff could be a downside &#8211; or could leave him fresh</p>
<p><span style="font-weight: bold;">7)         Papa Clem</span>                     <br /><span style="font-weight: bold;">Upside:</span> Love his recent old-school workout and everything else<br /><span style="font-weight: bold;">Downside:</span> Rain?</p>
<p><span style="font-weight: bold;"> <img src='http://superfectablog.com/wp-includes/images/smilies/icon_cool.gif' alt='8)' class='wp-smiley' />         Mine That Bird</span>           <br /><span style="font-weight: bold;">Upside:</span> Can win&#8230;<br /><span style="font-weight: bold;">Downside:</span> &#8230;but not in this company</p>
<p><span style="font-weight: bold;">9)         Join in the Dance</span><br /><span style="font-weight: bold;">Upside:</span> Still looking for one<br /><span style="font-weight: bold;">Downside:</span> Rabbit</p>
<p><span style="font-weight: bold;">10)       Regal Ransom</span>              <br /><span style="font-weight: bold;">Upside: </span>Love Alan Garcia on just about anything<br /><span style="font-weight: bold;">Downside: </span>UAE form still a question mark</p>
<p><span style="font-weight: bold;">11)        Chocolate Candy             </span><br /><span style="font-weight: bold;">Upside:</span> Great breeding, great form in California<br /><span style="font-weight: bold;">Downside:</span> First time on real dirt; wet track might not suit</p>
<p><span style="font-weight: bold;">12)       General Quarters</span>         <br /><span style="font-weight: bold;">Upside: </span>Great story, continual improvement, love switch to Julien Leparoux<br /><span style="font-weight: bold;">Downside: </span>Is he fast enough?</p>
<p><span style="font-weight: bold;">13) I Want Revenge </span><br /><span style="font-weight: bold;">Upside:</span> Looks very, very tough to beat; like Joe Talamo<br /><span style="font-weight: bold;">Downside:</span> Mullins et al. do not appeal</p>
<p><span style="font-weight: bold;">14) Atomic Rain </span><br /><span style="font-weight: bold;">Upside:</span> Let me know when you find one<br /><span style="font-weight: bold;">Downside:</span> Yes</p>
<p><span style="font-weight: bold;">15) Dunkirk </span><br /><span style="font-weight: bold;">Upside: </span>Florida Derby performance; high Tomlinson rating<br /><span style="font-weight: bold;">Downside:</span> <span style="font-weight: bold;">Curlin</span> couldn&#8217;t do it with so few races</p>
<p><span style="font-weight: bold;">16) Pioneerof the Nile </span><br /><span style="font-weight: bold;">Upside: </span>California record; possibility that Bode Baffert will sing in the winner&#8217;s circle<br /><span style="font-weight: bold;">Downside:</span> Low Beyers &#8211; and the dirt question</p>
<p><span style="font-weight: bold;">17) Summer Bird </span><br /><span style="font-weight: bold;">Upside:</span> I like his pedigree&#8230;<br /><span style="font-weight: bold;">Downside:</span> &#8230;but not on 3 lifetime starts</p>
<p><span style="font-weight: bold;">18) Nowhere to Hide </span><br /><span style="font-weight: bold;">Upside:</span> Um&#8230;Nick Zito surprise? Likes an off track?<br /><span style="font-weight: bold;">Downside:</span> Seems entirely outclassed</p>
<p><span style="font-weight: bold;">19) Desert Party </span><br /><span style="font-weight: bold;">Upside:</span> Breeding, previous record<br /><span style="font-weight: bold;">Downside:</span> What did he beat in Dubai?</p>
<p><span style="font-weight: bold;">20) Flying Private</span><br /><span style="font-weight: bold;">Upside:</span> *crickets*<br /><span style="font-weight: bold;">Downside:</span> Indeed</p>
<p><span style="font-weight: bold;">Preferences:</span> I&#8217;d love to see a <span style="font-weight: bold;">Friesan Fire/Papa Clem/Chocolate Candy/General Quarters</span> superfecta.<br /><span style="font-weight: bold;">Prediction &#8211; dry track:</span> <span style="font-weight: bold;">I Want Revenge/Friesan Fire/Papa Clem/General Quarters</span><br /><span style="font-weight: bold;">Prediction &#8211; wet track: Friesan Fire/General Quarters/Dunkirk/I Want Revenge</span></p>
<p>Wagering to be determined tomorrow, probably en route to the Derby party I&#8217;ll be attending &#8211; check back later today for some semi-liveblogging of Kentucky Oaks day!</p>
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		<title>In Case of Rain&#8230;</title>
		<link>http://superfectablog.com/2009/04/in-case-of-rain.html</link>
		<comments>http://superfectablog.com/2009/04/in-case-of-rain.html#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 30 Apr 2009 22:04:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>admin</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Chocolate Candy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Dunkirk]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Friesan Fire]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[I Want Revenge]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Papa Clem]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Pioneerof the Nile]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Rachel Alexandra]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Zenyatta]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://superfectablog.lisagrimm.com/?p=605</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p>It may be Kentucky Oaks Eve, but I seem to be spending most of my time looking at the weather for Saturday.  If the predicted deluge does indeed materialize around post time, I&#8217;m leaning toward a Friesan Fire/General Quarters/Dunkirk trifecta (even though I&#8217;m not otherwise on the Dunkirk bandwagon).  However, I could also [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a onblur="try {parent.deselectBloggerImageGracefully();} catch(e) {}" href="http://cache.daylife.com/imageserve/095fbDZaNKf3M/610x.jpg"><img style="margin: 0pt 10px 10px 0pt; float: left; cursor: pointer; width: 309px; height: 238px;" src="http://cache.daylife.com/imageserve/095fbDZaNKf3M/610x.jpg" alt="" border="0" /></a>It may be Kentucky Oaks Eve, but I seem to be spending most of my time looking at the weather for Saturday.  If the predicted deluge does indeed materialize around post time, I&#8217;m leaning toward a <span style="font-weight: bold;">Friesan Fire</span>/<span style="font-weight: bold;">General Quarters</span>/<span style="font-weight: bold;">Dunkirk</span> trifecta (even though I&#8217;m not otherwise on the <span style="font-weight: bold;">Dunkirk</span> bandwagon).  However, I could also see a replay of the Louisiana Derby if things get really muddy &#8211; <span style="font-weight: bold;">Papa Clem</span> could get up for second behind <span style="font-weight: bold;">Friesan Fire</span> again.</p>
<p>However, high <a href="http://www.drf.com/misc/tomlinson.html">Tomlinson ratings</a> alone aren&#8217;t going to raise <span style="font-weight: bold;">Join in the Dance</span> or <span style="font-weight: bold;">Nowhere to Hide</span> much in my estimation &#8211; but it could mean that even with a sloppy track, <span style="font-weight: bold;">Join in the Dance</span> tears away to set a fairly wicked pace.  Although I really like <span style="font-weight: bold;">Chocolate Candy</span>, if it&#8217;s coming up very damp, I may decide it won&#8217;t be his afternoon (and I&#8217;d have the perfect excuse to toss <span style="font-weight: bold;">Pioneerof the Nile</span> entirely).  I can&#8217;t decide where <span style="font-weight: bold;">I Want Revenge</span> figures in the event of truly bad weather &#8211; but given how quickly the track dries at Churchill Downs, it&#8217;s likely an outside possibility.  Still, it&#8217;s good to be prepared.</p>
<p>Here&#8217;s hoping the weather holds off long enough that we get to see <span style="font-weight: bold;">Zenyatta</span> <a href="http://www.bloodhorse.com/horse-racing/articles/50534/zenyatta-may-not-run-on-oaks-undercard">run tomorrow</a> (and that we have a good view of <span style="font-weight: bold;">Rachel Alexandra</span> demolishing the Oaks field).  More to come then&#8230;</p>
]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>Derby Deals and Defections</title>
		<link>http://superfectablog.com/2009/04/derby-deals-and-defections.html</link>
		<comments>http://superfectablog.com/2009/04/derby-deals-and-defections.html#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 28 Apr 2009 15:14:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>admin</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Chocolate Candy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Friesan Fire]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[I Want Revenge]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Media]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Papa Clem]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Quality Road]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://superfectablog.lisagrimm.com/?p=603</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p>There&#8217;s been another wholly sensible Derby defection; following in the slightly-bloody hoofprints of Quality Road, Square Eddie is also bowing out of the Derby field.  It&#8217;s rather refreshing to see that two very talented horses are being handled with such caution – both should be back later in the season once they have fully [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a onblur="try {parent.deselectBloggerImageGracefully();} catch(e) {}" href="http://channels.bloodhorse.com/images/content/IWantRevengeCDWork2_042809_MK298.jpg"><img style="margin: 0pt 10px 10px 0pt; float: left; cursor: pointer; width: 238px; height: 179px;" src="http://channels.bloodhorse.com/images/content/IWantRevengeCDWork2_042809_MK298.jpg" alt="" border="0" /></a>There&#8217;s been another wholly sensible Derby defection; following in the slightly-bloody hoofprints of <span style="font-weight: bold;">Quality Road</span>, <span style="font-weight: bold;">Square Eddie</span> is also <a href="http://www.bloodhorse.com/horse-racing/articles/50471/square-eddie-out-of-kentucky-derby">bowing out</a> of the Derby field.  It&#8217;s rather refreshing to see that two very talented horses are being handled with such caution – both should be back later in the season once they have fully returned to fighting shape.</p>
<p>The Blood-Horse reports that in addition to coverage in peculiar places like Access Hollywood, there is also promotion of the Derby via <a href="http://www.blogher.com/">BlogHer</a> (&#8216;<a href="http://www.bloodhorse.com/horse-racing/articles/50464/nbc-plans-week-long-derby-coverage">an iVillage partner</a>&#8216; – and I should mention that back in the day I used to work with one of the founders of BlogHer at <a href="http://web.archive.org/web/20000229123229/http://www.women.com/">Women.com</a>, which was eventually subsumed by iVillage).  This is news to me, despite the fact that I am <a href="http://www.blogher.com/member-search-results/superfecta">a BlogHer member</a> – I have yet to see anything racing-related over there that isn&#8217;t just a feed from my site.  I had to miss yesterday&#8217;s <a href="http://maryforney.blogspot.com/2009/04/ntra-reaches-out-to-blogosphere.html">NTRA/blogger conference call</a> since it was scheduled for my usual train home, but I wonder if it was mentioned at all in that discussion. I&#8217;d be very curious to see exactly what sort of promotion the BlogHer deal covered – but I digress, back to the horses!</p>
<p>The <a href="http://www.courier-journal.com/article/20090428/NEWS01/90428005/-1/rss">weather report</a> is looking fairly ominous for Oaks Day at this point; while it should be better on Saturday, just in case the wet weather stays on one wonders what that means for <span style="font-weight: bold;">Papa Clem</span> (sure, he was still second in the slop on Louisiana Derby day, but it was a long way back behind <span style="font-weight: bold;">Friesan Fire</span>), or if this indeed hands an advantage to <span style="font-weight: bold;">Friesan Fire</span> (whose lightning-fast <a href="http://www.bloodhorse.com/horse-racing/articles/50453/friesan-fire-sizzles-in-final-pre-derby-work">workout</a> was the subject of much discussion yesterday).  Checking everyone&#8217;s <a href="http://www.drf.com/misc/tomlinson.html">Tomlinson ratings</a> after the field is set will no doubt be in order this year – just in case.</p>
<p>All the contenders are getting their final works in; <span style="font-weight: bold;">Chocolate Candy</span> worked yesterday as well, with <span style="font-weight: bold;">I Want Revenge</span> burning up the track <a href="http://www.bloodhorse.com/horse-racing/articles/50473/i-want-revenge-in-bullet-work-for-derby">earlier today</a> &#8211; it was &#8216;<a href="http://twitter.com/JoeTalamo">GREAT</a>&#8216; according to jockey Joe Talamo (who seems to have become quite the media property this week &#8211; well done to him for staying cool under that sort of pressure) &#8211; and I should add that <a style="font-weight: bold;" href="http://twitter.com/I_Want_Revenge">I Want Revenge</a> did not sell himself short either.  Tomorrow&#8217;s post position draw won&#8217;t be televised, but I&#8217;m sure it will be very popular <a href="http://twitter.com/kentuckyderby">on Twitter</a> as well&#8230;</p>
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		<title>Justifying the Top Ten</title>
		<link>http://superfectablog.com/2009/04/justifying-top-ten.html</link>
		<comments>http://superfectablog.com/2009/04/justifying-top-ten.html#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 23 Apr 2009 14:38:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>admin</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Chocolate Candy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Friesan Fire]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[I Want Revenge]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Papa Clem]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Pioneerof the Nile]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Quality Road]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[The Pamplemousse]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://superfectablog.lisagrimm.com/?p=600</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p>As we wait out the final pre-Derby weekend, I decided it was high time to explain just what I like &#8211; and dislike &#8211; about my top ten Derby picks.

I Want Revenge
Pros: His thoroughly impressive Wood Memorial victory alone would put him at the top of the list, but add in some interesting Argentine breeding [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://cmsimg.courier-journal.com/apps/pbcsi.dll/bilde?Site=B2&amp;Date=20090422&amp;Category=SPORTS08&amp;ArtNo=904220491&amp;Ref=AR&amp;Profile=1037&amp;MaxW=318&amp;Border=0" onblur="try {parent.deselectBloggerImageGracefully();} catch(e) {}"><img style="margin: 0pt 0pt 10px 10px; float: right; cursor: pointer; width: 318px; height: 217px;" src="http://cmsimg.courier-journal.com/apps/pbcsi.dll/bilde?Site=B2&amp;Date=20090422&amp;Category=SPORTS08&amp;ArtNo=904220491&amp;Ref=AR&amp;Profile=1037&amp;MaxW=318&amp;Border=0" border="0" alt="" /></a>As we wait out the final pre-Derby weekend, I decided it was high time to explain just what I like &#8211; and dislike &#8211; about my <a href="http://www.paulickreport.com/blog/paulick-derby-index-by-amwest-entertainment-a-tightening-at-the-top/">top ten Derby picks</a>.<br />
<span style="font-weight: bold;"><br />
I Want Revenge</span><br />
<span style="font-weight: bold;">Pros:</span> His thoroughly impressive Wood Memorial victory alone would put him at the top of the list, but add in some interesting Argentine breeding on his dam’s side and you have a very compelling mix of speed and endurance.  He&#8217;s getting great service from young <a href="http://twitter.com/joetalamo">Joe Talamo</a> and one imagines Animal Planet would love to see a win here.</p>
<p><span style="font-weight: bold;">Cons: </span>In a word: people.  Jeff Mullins and IEAH joining forces do not a positive storyline make (depending on the context for &#8216;positive&#8217; of course). Still, it&#8217;s hardly the horse&#8217;s fault and one hopes they are sensible enough to stay in the background this time – let Talamo take any human accolades.</p>
<p><span style="font-weight: bold;">Friesan Fire</span><br />
<span style="font-weight: bold;">Pros:</span> Another interesting pedigree – <span style="font-weight: bold;">A.P. Indy</span> matched with Aussie speed, and a sympathetic industry (and news media) that would like to see Larry Jones retire on a win –  it would be a great boost for jockey Gabriel Saez as well.</p>
<p><span style="font-weight: bold;">Cons:</span> While I don’t love the &#8216;training up to the Derby&#8217; path, I’m presuming Jones <a href="http://www.courier-journal.com/article/20090422/SPORTS08/904220491/1037/SPORTS08/Another+Jones+special+is+bucking+Kentucky+Derby+history">knows the horse</a> (pictured) a lot better than I do.  It doesn&#8217;t hurt come Belmont time to have a reasonably fresh runner.</p>
<p><span style="font-weight: bold;">Chocolate Candy</span><br />
<span style="font-weight: bold;">Pros:</span> Love that he&#8217;s by <span style="font-weight: bold;">Candy Ride</span> and he looks like the sort of horse who will appreciate being able to close on the Derby free-for-all – he&#8217;s fast <a href="http://www.thedowneyprofile.com/Bloodhorse.com_Content#FLYING">when it counts</a>.</p>
<p><span style="font-weight: bold;">Cons: </span> The Derby will be his first start outside California; so far he <a href="http://ntra.com/content.aspx?type=news&amp;id=38947">seems to like</a> the Churchill Downs surface, but it&#8217;s still an unknown factor on race day.</p>
<p><span style="font-weight: bold;">General Quarters</span><br />
<span style="font-weight: bold;">Pros:</span> The feel-good story of the year so far; has a great jockey in Julien Leparoux.  Tends to be flying at the end.</p>
<p><span style="font-weight: bold;">Cons:</span> Distance could be a factor; ditto the step up in class.</p>
<p><span style="font-weight: bold;">Papa Clem</span><br />
<span style="font-weight: bold;">Pros:</span> He&#8217;s been my dark horse for a while – has been steadily improving and is proven on real dirt.  It seems a son (or daughter) of <span style="font-weight: bold;">Smart Strike</span> will win the Derby at some point – perhaps this year.  And hey, he&#8217;s beaten <span style="font-weight: bold;">I Want Revenge</span>.</p>
<p><span style="font-weight: bold;">Cons:</span> Weather could be a factor – he obviously didn&#8217;t love the slop in the Louisiana Derby.</p>
<p><span style="font-weight: bold;">Quality Road</span><br />
<span style="font-weight: bold;">Pros:</span> Very impressive Florida Derby win, never out of the money and another one with some Antipodean breeding on his dam&#8217;s side.</p>
<p><span style="font-weight: bold;">Cons:</span> Yes, the quarter crack seems to be less of a factor – but would it hold up through June?</p>
<p><span style="font-weight: bold;">Pioneerof the Nile</span><br />
<span style="font-weight: bold;">Pros:</span> Great California record (although I believe had he been healthy, <span style="font-weight: bold;">The Pamplemousse</span> would have beaten him) and keeps Garrett Gomez, who is hungry for a Derby win.</p>
<p><span style="font-weight: bold;">Cons:</span> The huge surface question mark – word is he&#8217;s <a href="http://sports.espn.go.com/sports/horse/triplecrown09/news/story?id=4087309">enjoying it</a> so far (to say the least), so we&#8217;ll see; lowish Beyers are also a worry (and I still loathe the way his name is spelled).</p>
<p><span style="font-weight: bold;">Regal Ransom</span><br />
<span style="font-weight: bold;">Pros:</span> Looked considerably more impressive than stablemate <span style="font-weight: bold;">Desert Party</span> in the UAE Derby and should go off at a price.</p>
<p><span style="font-weight: bold;">Cons:</span> Longshot status is probably deserved; the &#8216;train in Dubai&#8217; tactic hasn&#8217;t worked so far for the Derby.</p>
<p><span style="font-weight: bold;">Musket Man</span><br />
<span style="font-weight: bold;">Pros: </span>Steady progress this season in races that seemed better in retrospect than on the day.</p>
<p><span style="font-weight: bold;">Cons: </span>Can he get a mile and a quarter?</p>
<p><span style="font-weight: bold;">Hold Me Back</span><br />
<span style="font-weight: bold;">Pros:</span> Very fast closer – if the race falls apart, look for him to pull a <span style="font-weight: bold;">Giacomo</span>.</p>
<p><span style="font-weight: bold;">Cons: </span>Big step up in class could be too much to overcome.</p>
<p>Finally, here&#8217;s a question – why is there no <a href="http://www.courier-journal.com/apps/pbcs.dll/article?AID=999980222054">Derby DataTrack</a> this year?  I&#8217;ll be spending even more time with <a href="http://spreadsheets.google.com/pub?key=pkwbeQTqjL0K70xZr6vjyTQ">Railbird&#8217;s data</a> as a result&#8230;</p>
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		<title>Getting Closer&#8230;</title>
		<link>http://superfectablog.com/2009/04/getting-closer.html</link>
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		<pubDate>Tue, 21 Apr 2009 15:05:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>admin</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[I Want Revenge]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Pioneerof the Nile]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Quality Road]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://superfectablog.lisagrimm.com/?p=599</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p>Whether Advice&#8217;s rather nice win in the Coolmore Lexington will have any Derby reverberations remains to be seen (although I think we can all agree Square Eddie was predictably short on fitness), but there has been plenty of other action on that front.  Perhaps most notable is that Garrett Gomez officially committed to ride [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a onblur="try {parent.deselectBloggerImageGracefully();} catch(e) {}" href="http://www.freewebs.com/skitsemble/ARBA%20Conv/2008/gate.JPG"><img style="margin: 0pt 10px 10px 0pt; float: left; cursor: pointer; width: 256px; height: 179px;" src="http://www.freewebs.com/skitsemble/ARBA%20Conv/2008/gate.JPG" alt="" border="0" /></a>Whether <span style="font-weight: bold;">Advice&#8217;s</span> <a href="http://www.bloodhorse.com/horse-racing/articles/50286/advice-pulls-15-1-shocker-in-lexington">rather nice win</a> in the Coolmore Lexington will have any Derby reverberations remains to be seen (although I think we can all agree <span style="font-weight: bold;">Square Eddie</span> was predictably short on fitness), but there has been plenty of other action on that front.  Perhaps most notable is that Garrett Gomez <a href="http://ntra.com/blog.aspx?blogid=26&amp;year=2009&amp;month=4&amp;day=19">officially committed</a> to ride <span style="font-weight: bold;">Pioneerof the Nile</span> (and I tip my hat to him for adding <a href="http://www.bloodhorse.com/horse-racing/articles/50297/gomez-to-ride-pioneerof-the-nile">a little drama</a> to the proceedings &#8211; I presume this will appear in a future episode of &#8216;Jockeys&#8217; &#8211; along with Joe Talamo <a href="http://www.bloodhorse.com/horse-racing/articles/50318/talamo-makes-25000-pledge">pledging $25,000</a> to Children&#8217;s Hospital in New Orleans should <span style="font-weight: bold;">I Want Revenge</span> win).</p>
<p>A few more horses are quite sensibly leaving the Derby trail; <span style="font-weight: bold;">Giant Oak</span> will likely head <a href="http://www.bloodhorse.com/horse-racing/articles/50315/giant-oak-leaves-derby-trail">back to the turf</a> and <span style="font-weight: bold;">Big Drama</span> will <a href="http://sports.espn.go.com/sports/horse/triplecrown09/news/story?id=4073618">wait for the Preakness</a>, but some I really don&#8217;t rate are sticking with the Derby plan &#8211; those would include <span style="font-weight: bold;">Mine That Bird</span> and <span style="font-weight: bold;">Win Willy</span>.  <span style="font-weight: bold;">Summer Bird</span> looks more like a Belmont horse to me, but he&#8217;s also planning to have a go in Kentucky.</p>
<p>While I did consider adding <span style="font-weight: bold;">Advice</span> (whom I definitely prefer of the two Todd Pletcher trainees &#8211; at least at this point in the season), in the end, this week&#8217;s <a href="http://www.paulickreport.com/">top ten</a> is a rerun of last week&#8217;s edition:</p>
<p>1) <span style="font-weight: bold;">I Want Revenge</span><br />2) <span style="font-weight: bold;">Friesan Fire</span><br />3) <span style="font-weight: bold;">Chocolate Candy</span><br />4) <span style="font-weight: bold;">General Quarters</span><br />5) <span style="font-weight: bold;">Papa Clem</span><br />6) <span style="font-weight: bold;">Quality Road</span><br />7) <span style="font-weight: bold;">Pioneerof the Nile</span><br /> <img src='http://superfectablog.com/wp-includes/images/smilies/icon_cool.gif' alt='8)' class='wp-smiley' /> <span style="font-weight: bold;">Regal Ransom</span><br />9) <span style="font-weight: bold;">Musket Man</span><br />10) <span style="font-weight: bold;">Hold Me Back</span></p>
<p>It&#8217;s very hard for me to separate the top six; I have something a mental break in between <span style="font-weight: bold;">Quality Road</span> (who would be in the first or second spot without the quarter crack) and <span style="font-weight: bold;">Pioneerof the Nile </span>in the seventh position<span style="font-weight: bold;">;</span> if I had to pick the winner today, it would be one of those six.</p>
<p>That narrows it down, doesn&#8217;t it?</p>
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		<title>Nearly There</title>
		<link>http://superfectablog.com/2009/04/nearly-there.html</link>
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		<pubDate>Tue, 14 Apr 2009 16:27:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>admin</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Dunkirk]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Eight Belles]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Friesan Fire]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[I Want Revenge]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Old Fashioned]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Papa Clem]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://superfectablog.lisagrimm.com/?p=596</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p>The best story to come out of last weekend&#8217;s Derby preps is certainly that of General Quarters; the Blue Grass victor&#8217;s tale has all the elements of a perfect script: former claimer, slow to mature, and single-horse owner-trainer (although, as the Blood-Horse pointed out, he&#8217;s had a little help here and there, which is no [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a onblur="try {parent.deselectBloggerImageGracefully();} catch(e) {}" href="http://timesunion.com//Shared/Graphics/NewsDB/AP/Arkansas%20Derby%20Horse%20Racing%20599ca479-6281-4630-ac0d-e4864b910db0.jpg"><img style="margin: 0pt 10px 10px 0pt; float: left; cursor: pointer; width: 249px; height: 168px;" src="http://timesunion.com//Shared/Graphics/NewsDB/AP/Arkansas%20Derby%20Horse%20Racing%20599ca479-6281-4630-ac0d-e4864b910db0.jpg" alt="" border="0" /></a><span style="font-family:verdana;">The </span><a style="font-family: verdana;" href="http://www.nytimes.com/2009/04/13/sports/othersports/13racing.html">best story</a><span style="font-family:verdana;"> to come out of last weekend&#8217;s Derby preps is certainly that of </span><span style="font-weight: bold;font-family:verdana;" >General Quarters</span><span style="font-family:verdana;">; the Blue Grass victor&#8217;s </span><a style="font-family: verdana;" href="http://www.courier-journal.com/article/20090412/COLUMNISTS02/904120550/1002/SPORTS">tale</a><span style="font-family:verdana;"> has all the elements of a perfect script: former claimer, slow to mature, and single-horse owner-trainer (although, as the Blood-Horse pointed out, he&#8217;s </span><a style="font-family: verdana;" href="http://www.bloodhorse.com/horse-racing/articles/50189/ky-derby-trail-its-millers-time-too">had a little help</a><span style="font-family:verdana;"> here and there, which is no bad thing).  It will be interesting to see if his good recent form in Florida translates back to Kentucky; in any case, it&#8217;s probably unlikely that many other Derby starters started their careers in a 14K claimer at Churchill Downs.  It&#8217;s worth reflecting that his eleven lifetime starts give him nearly four times as much racing experience as, say, </span><span style="font-weight: bold;font-family:verdana;" >Dunkirk</span><span style="font-family:verdana;">.  </span><span style="font-weight: bold;font-family:verdana;" ></p>
<p>Hold Me Back</span><span style="font-family:verdana;"> and </span><span style="font-weight: bold;font-family:verdana;" >Massone</span><span style="font-family:verdana;"> both finished the race well too &#8211; </span><span style="font-weight: bold;font-family:verdana;" >Massone</span><span style="font-family:verdana;"> will head to more synthetic surfaces </span><a style="font-family: verdana;" href="http://www.brisnet.com/cgi-bin/editorial/news/article.cgi?id=14665">in California</a><span style="font-family:verdana;">, while </span><span style="font-weight: bold;font-family:verdana;" >Hold Me Back</span><span style="font-family:verdana;"> is </span><a style="font-family: verdana;" href="http://www.brisnet.com/cgi-bin/editorial/news/article.cgi?id=14665">on track</a><span style="font-family:verdana;"> for a Derby berth.</span>  <span style="font-family:verdana;"></p>
<p>Also likely to make the field now is the aforementioned </span><span style="font-weight: bold;font-family:verdana;" >Dunkirk</span><span style="font-family:verdana;"> &#8211; largely because Arkansas Derby runner-up </span><span style="font-weight: bold;font-family:verdana;" >Old Fashioned</span><span style="font-family:verdana;"> has a date </span><a style="font-family: verdana;" href="http://www.nwanews.com/adg/Sports/257229/">with Rood &amp; Riddle</a><span style="font-family:verdana;">, rather than Churchill Downs.  They grey colt fractured his knee (although it was not apparent at any point during the race) and we&#8217;ve very likely seen the last of him on the track (given his value at stud), so Coolmore&#8217;s </span><span style="font-weight: bold;font-family:verdana;" >Dunkirk</span><span style="font-family:verdana;"> is left to carry the </span><span style="font-weight: bold;font-family:verdana;" >Unbridled&#8217;s Song</span><span style="font-family:verdana;"> banner in the Derby (and make of that what you will &#8211; this is owner Rick Porter&#8217;s third prominent </span><span style="font-weight: bold;font-family:verdana;" >Unbridled&#8217;s Song</span><span style="font-family:verdana;"> </span> offspring to meet with a serious injury on the Derby trail, after<span style="font-weight: bold;font-family:verdana;" > Rockport Harbor</span><span style="font-family:verdana;"> and, of course, </span><span style="font-weight: bold;font-family:verdana;" >Eight Belles</span><span style="font-family:verdana;">). </span>  <span style="font-family:verdana;"></p>
<p>But it was a very interesting race; I was glad to see </span><span style="font-weight: bold;font-family:verdana;" >Papa Clem</span><span style="font-family:verdana;"> finally get </span><a style="font-family: verdana;" href="http://www.thoroughbredtimes.com/racing-news/2009/April/12/Stute-savors-magical-moment-with-Papa-Clem.aspx">a big win</a><span style="font-family:verdana;"> (pictured), since I felt he&#8217;d been flying under the radar for far too long (and his win vaulted me to the top of the </span><a style="font-family: verdana;" href="http://www.brooklynbackstretch.com/2009/04/road-to-roses-update.html">Brooklyn Backstretch</a><span style="font-family:verdana;"> </span><a style="font-family: verdana;" href="http://www.roadtotheroses.com/">Road to the Roses</a><span style="font-family:verdana;"> league).  He&#8217;s been steadily improving (and getting some bad luck along the way) and while his 99 Beyer for the Arkansas Derby wasn&#8217;t earth-shattering, I think he&#8217;s going to be a lot of fun to watch.</span></p>
<p><span style="font-family:verdana;">It&#8217;s still not clear whether </span><span style="font-weight: bold;font-family:verdana;" >Mafaaz&#8217;s</span><span style="font-family:verdana;"> </span><a style="font-family: verdana;" href="http://www.bloodhorse.com/horse-racing/articles/50191/no-word-on-mafaaz-patena-to-regroup">deeply uninspiring</a><span style="font-family:verdana;"> effort in the Blue Grass will put him on a plane back to England; </span><span style="font-weight: bold;font-family:verdana;" >Patena&#8217;s</span><span style="font-family:verdana;"> non-firing in the same race means that the horse will be &#8216;</span><a style="font-family: verdana;" href="http://www.bloodhorse.com/horse-racing/articles/50191/no-word-on-mafaaz-patena-to-regroup">regrouping</a><span style="font-family:verdana;">.&#8217;  (Given that IEAH purchased the horse with the sole intent of running him in the Derby, one wonders if he&#8217;ll quietly slip away in a claiming race &#8211; after all, they have </span><span style="font-weight: bold;font-family:verdana;" >I Want Revenge now</span><span style="font-family:verdana;">).  Larry Jones must be glad he has </span><a style="font-weight: bold; font-family: verdana;" href="http://www.bloodhorse.com/horse-racing/articles/50197/friesan-fire-works-at-keeneland">Friesan Fire</a><span style="font-family:verdana;"> to fall back on; despite the seven-week layoff, he&#8217;s still one of my top Derby picks (</span><a style="font-family: verdana;" href="http://www.paulickreport.com/">this week</a><span style="font-family:verdana;">):</span>  <span style="font-family:verdana;"></p>
<p>1) </span><span style="font-weight: bold;font-family:verdana;" >I Want Revenge</span><br /><span style="font-family:verdana;">2) </span><span style="font-weight: bold;font-family:verdana;" >Friesan Fire</span> <span style="font-family:verdana;"><br />3) </span><span style="font-weight: bold;font-family:verdana;" >Chocolate Candy</span> <span style="font-family:verdana;"><br />4) </span><span style="font-weight: bold;font-family:verdana;" >General Quarters</span> <span style="font-family:verdana;"><br />5) </span><span style="font-weight: bold;font-family:verdana;" >Papa Clem</span> <span style="font-family:verdana;"><br />6) </span><span style="font-weight: bold;font-family:verdana;" >Quality Road</span> <span style="font-family:verdana;"><br />7) </span><span style="font-weight: bold;font-family:verdana;" >Pioneerof the Nile</span> <span style="font-family:verdana;"><br /> <img src='http://superfectablog.com/wp-includes/images/smilies/icon_cool.gif' alt='8)' class='wp-smiley' /> </span><span style="font-weight: bold;font-family:verdana;" >Regal Ransom</span> <span style="font-family:verdana;"><br />9) </span><span style="font-weight: bold;font-family:verdana;" >Musket Man</span><br /><span style="font-family:verdana;">10) </span><span style="font-weight: bold;font-family:verdana;" >Hold Me Back</span>  <span style="font-family:verdana;"></p>
<p>So, we&#8217;re nearly done with Derby prep season; yes, there&#8217;s still the Coolmore Lexington next weekend, and once upon a time the Derby Trial mattered to the Derby field, but in reality we&#8217;re nearly there.  Check back later in the week for more on how the field is shaping up.</span></p>
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